Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.392031 0.464714 0.545851 0.642957 0.755823 0.882679 1.035866
2025-01-05 0.287738 0.382528 0.499688 0.654357 0.852303 1.096178 1.418339
2025-01-12 0.224190 0.324538 0.458224 0.647752 0.907631 1.249282 1.729823
2025-01-19 0.182856 0.284341 0.428272 0.644699 0.958674 1.393698 2.037139
2025-01-26 0.160296 0.265147 0.422054 0.670116 1.047508 1.593875 2.436474
2025-02-02 0.153305 0.267402 0.446161 0.741034 1.207959 1.909220 3.028890
2025-02-09 0.138203 0.253780 0.443045 0.768219 1.303111 2.134825 3.506853
2025-02-16 0.119192 0.230244 0.420157 0.759644 1.339047 2.270573 3.856050
2025-02-23 0.100725 0.204495 0.389636 0.733588 1.341871 2.351685 4.122498
2025-03-02 0.084343 0.179809 0.357337 0.699719 1.326389 2.399248 4.335087
2025-03-09 0.077901 0.173210 0.356851 0.722502 1.411540 2.622209 4.859720
2025-03-16 0.066927 0.155672 0.333270 0.699072 1.409928 2.693504 5.126086
2025-03-23 0.061171 0.148555 0.329850 0.715441 1.486791 2.915723 5.688070
2025-03-30 0.055584 0.140944 0.324532 0.727631 1.557420 3.133800 6.263319
2025-04-06 0.049057 0.130023 0.310670 0.720335 1.588370 3.279665 6.715502
2025-04-13 0.043716 0.120940 0.299439 0.716967 1.626392 3.441439 7.209886
2025-04-20 0.041216 0.118423 0.302525 0.745004 1.732229 3.744120 8.000809
2025-04-27 0.042106 0.124746 0.326815 0.823189 1.952189 4.291672 9.316357
2025-05-04 0.039839 0.122326 0.329990 0.853145 2.069774 4.639587 10.254810
2025-05-11 0.035615 0.113793 0.317084 0.843697 2.098634 4.805594 10.832817
2025-05-18 0.030948 0.103115 0.297247 0.814983 2.080470 4.870157 11.203373
2025-05-25 0.026500 0.092181 0.275111 0.777647 2.038006 4.878068 11.452995
2025-06-01 0.025153 0.090482 0.277395 0.802763 2.146729 5.226591 12.464082